Pomboy: Deflation, Not Inflation, Is The Greater Threat
I am a big fan of Stephanie Pomboy’s economic commentary, even though she has steadfastedly managed to duck my meeting her every chance she gets — conferences, dinners, drinks — I even heard she once hid behind a column in Vail to avoid me ; ) No matter, I still find her work outstanding. Her most recent commentary on Deflation was right up mny alley. Its discussed extensively in Abelson’s Barron’s column this weekend: “THE INDOMITABLE STEPHANIE POMBOY, who beguiles us week-in, week-out with her feisty, funny and very much with-it MacroMavens commentary, is a member of the small but hearty camp (number us among them) who believe that the immediate threat is deflation, not inflation. As, among other things, the glistening rise in gold and the heavy shorting of long-dated Treasuries strongly suggest, she notes, the popular investment view is pretty fixated on inflation. And Stephanie mulls whether Jeff Lacker, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, “isn’t sure the Fed will be able to make a graceful exit before all inflation hell breaks loose,” shouldn’t we all share his concern? Her answer is a qualified “no.” Qualified because she believes there’ll be inflation, but it’ll be in assets, not goods
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Pomboy: Deflation, Not Inflation, Is The Greater Threat